DR .Vipin Srivastava, a leading physicist, and former pro-vice-chancellor, Hyderabad University (UOH), told toi that the pattern of new Covid-19 infection and death in the country since July 4 appeared similar to the first week of February 2021, when the wave The two Covid-19 hit the country with the end of April.
He warned that the third wave could take momentum if people failed to follow the Covid-19 protocol such as social Distance, sanitation, wore masks, and vaccination.
According to the report by Times India, physicists have developed three metrics about the development of pandemic After analyzing Covid-19 data in death for 461 days now. One of the metrics or actions analyzed showed signs of the Emergence of new (third) covid-19 waves since July 4. He has named the metric “Daily Death Load” (DDL) Covid-19.
To calculate metrics about Covid-19 Development / Degresions, Dr. Srivastava takes the ratio of the number of Covid-19 deaths in a 24 hour period, which is when going from day D to day D + 1), and the number of new active cases is Added in the same period of 24 hours. This amount can be positive and negative and can take value ranges, small and Large.
This is negative when the number of patients restored in 24 hours exceeds the number of new cases added in the same 24 hours. The favorable situation will arise when the burden of daily deaths is small and negative.
“When I planned this ratio as a function of time I found that it showed wild fluctuations every time there was a crossover from one scenario to another scenario on the plot for the number of Daily Covid deaths,” said Dr. Srivastava.
Explain further, the former PRO-VC said even when the number of deaths was very high in May 2021, DDL fluctuated Wildly in a 10-day period from 6 to 17 May, indicating that the crossover was in an attack. While the number of daily Deaths is still very high and fluctuates rapidly, DDL has calmed down and achieves beneficial negative and small values. This marks a decrease in daily death rates.
India reported 37,154 new Covid-19 cases in the last 24 hours, notify the Ministry of Health on Monday.
Active cases in India from Covid-19 cases are at 4.50,899. Active cases constitute 1.46 percent of the total cases.