Covid spreads faster than the second national wave: data

In the week ended January 2, there were 18,290 new Covid-19 infections which were reported every day on average throughout India, the average seven-day highlight had been touched since October 12, the dashboard showed.

New Covid-19 infections throughout India increased faster than they did even during the brutal second wave in April-May last year, data analyzed with HT showed that the latest surge driven by omicron variants seen throughout the world, where he has surpassed all the previous waves.

India on Sunday reported 33,647 new Covid-19 infections, the highest in one day since September 17, or in 107 days, according to the Covid HT dashboard, because the latest surge in the state in the case continues to push the daily case number to a level that is not visible since the second wave is controlled in the first half of 2021.

To be sure, experts say that data from the top world has shown that despite rapid gains in the case level because omikron, hospitalization and reports of severe infections consistently remain low.

In the week ended January 2, there were 18,290 new Covid-19 infections which were reported every day on average throughout India, the average seven-day highlight had been touched since October 12, the dashboard showed.

While in absolute numbers, this is the worst case level in the past two and a half months, the number is increasingly worrying if we see that level increases. The last week before (seven days to December 25), the national average of everyday cases was 6,641. This means only in a week, the level of new infection has increased by 175%. This is the largest weekly growth seen in the country since April 9, 2020, exceeding the peak growth rate seen during the second wave, when the number peaked at 75%.

To be sure, the important difference between the case path in April 2020 and the current trajectory is the mere case volume. In April 2020, when a new pandemic began in India, there were only around 500 new cases every day, against the current new infection rate of more than 18,000 new cases.

Another important difference is the extraordinary growth rate. Only five days ago, the weekly growth rate of the average daily case was in a negative, which meant the wave contracted compared to the previous week. So it takes only five days from the contract case level to one that has exceeded the speed of growth seen even during the second wave, HT analysis shows.

This also means that if the current weekly growth rate continues, the case curve can multiply up to 36,000 cases everyday in seven days.

The national average, of course, hides a much wider variation throughout the country, especially the numbers of the main metropolitan region, where week-to-week growth rates are much higher. In Delhi, who reported 3,194 new cases on Sunday, took an average of seven days to 1,538, the latter had grown 832% from the previous week. Likewise, in Mumbai, 8,063 new cases on Sunday took everyday cases on average to 3,994, an increase of 624% from the previous seven days.

The trend in India imitates what has been witnessed throughout the world so far – such a very transmitting omicron variant has gripped a country, daily case level (average seven new days of new infections) has grown faster than the previous waves, including the fast. – Delta waves.

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